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Coronavirus in London: 50|50 chance of catching infection in UK capital says virus expert - News 24

Coronavirus in London: 50|50 chance of catching infection in UK capital says virus expert  - News 24 Thanks for watching my video.
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For any copyright, please send me a message.  Coronavirus has killed 1,383 people worldwide and infected more than 64,000 as health professionals desperately begin developing a vaccine. In recent weeks, hospitals throughout Britain have created “isolation pods” in a bid to keep anyone tested for the virus separate from other patients, with strenuous efforts being made to track down everybody these people have come into contact with. So far in the UK, there are nine confirmed cases of the illness. Virologist Dr Mike Skinner has warned there is a 50 percent chance of catching the virus in London. Speaking to Express.co.uk, Dr Skinner said: “When you’ve got very small numbers of cases like this you’re dealing with chance. “It can go one way or the other. You can’t put any statistics on it. “Somebody has tried to model the likelihood of an infection becoming established depending on the number of inductions.  “They came out with figures of by the time you get to 10, you may get a 50 percent chance of getting an established infection. “But we also must look at the number of cases we’ve got and number of inductions. “We know we have a super spreading event where a number of people were infected from the same source. “It counts as primary, that one person coming back from Singapore is one event.  “We’ve still got a relatively small number of events. It’s still 50/50. “Worst case is it gets established and it starts spreading at a level where the public health starts breaking down.” It comes as millions of Britons could be told to stay at home for a fortnight if there is a significant spike in the number of coronavirus cases in the UK.   Trending  Senior managers have been told if the number of cases hits 100, with evidence of “sustained transmission” within the UK, the NHS could opt to stop testing patients and instead urge symptomatic people to self-isolate, The Telegraph reports. Such an approach is in line with World Health Organisation (WHO) advice, which suggests countries need to carry out a detailed study of the first 100 cases of any pandemic. The UK’s Pandemic Influenza Response Plan offers guidelines for the isolation and treatment for “the first few 100 cases” of new viruses so vital information can be gathered. As of February 16, a total of 3,109 people have been tested, of whom 3,100 have so far been confirmed negative.

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